Carl Parslow, advocate. Picture: ROB CURRIE

By Carl Parslow

JERSEY’S future rests on a simple truth that is too often overlooked: a strong economy is not just one priority among many. It is the foundation on which everything else depends. As a small island, Jersey does not have the safety nets or spare capacity of larger countries. We have one main economic engine, and it has to work well. If it falters, the consequences will be felt quickly and widely.

What pays for our schools, hospital, infrastructure and public services is the Island’s ability to create wealth. That wealth comes from being open to the world, attracting business, supporting jobs and earning income from beyond our shores. Good intentions alone do not pay the bills. Only a healthy, competitive economy does.

Jersey faces real and unavoidable limits. Our population is small, our workforce constrained and our costs high. We cannot rely on size or volume. Instead, we rely on reputation, stability and quality. That is why, for decades, the Island has focused on exporting services and providing a safe, balanced place to do business. When this model works, the benefits extend far beyond any single sector, supporting employment across the economy and providing the tax base that funds public life.

To sustain this success, Jersey must focus on building and maintaining its economic infrastructure. This means more than roads and buildings. It includes the systems, skills and institutions that allow businesses to operate and grow. Financial and professional services remain central to the Island’s prosperity, but they do not exist in isolation.

Non-finance sectors also matter greatly. Technology, healthcare, construction, tourism, agriculture, fisheries and the creative industries all contribute to jobs, resilience and opportunity. A strong core economy supports these sectors, and in turn they make the Island more diverse and robust. The aim should not be to favour one industry over another, but to ensure the whole system works together.

One of the greatest risks for Jersey is policy driven by ideology. Economic success builds slowly and can easily be taken for granted. The rules, institutions and habits that support it often attract attention only when they begin to weaken. Well-meaning policy changes can raise costs, slow decisions or create uncertainty. Large countries may be able to absorb this.

Jersey cannot. Here, small changes add up quickly.

This is especially true in the debate about the role and size of the state. Public services matter deeply, but in a small economy there are real dangers in allowing government to grow faster than the private sector that pays for it. A rising tax burden, expanding regulation and an ever-larger public sector can undermine confidence among businesses, investors and workers alike. Confidence is fragile. Once lost, it is hard to restore. If people begin to doubt Jersey’s direction, they have choices and they can take them elsewhere.

Some argue this would never happen. The question is whether the Island can afford to take that risk.

Confidence matters because it drives behaviour. Businesses invest when they believe the rules will be stable. Skilled people stay when they see opportunity. Capital flows to places that look predictable, well-managed and serious about growth. An expanding state without matching growth in the productive economy risks crowding out the very activity needed to fund it.

Economic growth is sometimes treated as suspect by a vocal minority, as though it needs constant apology. That may be fashionable elsewhere, but it is dangerous here. Without growth, there is less to share. Without a thriving private sector, public ambition quickly runs into hard limits.

Education is therefore central to Jersey’s economic future. Further and higher education are not optional extras; they are essential infrastructure. Investing in local skills improves productivity, supports businesses and reduces reliance on imported labour. Closer links between education providers and the needs of the economy will help ensure the Island is preparing people for future opportunity, not past assumptions.

Sunday 7 June 2026 will be a moment of real responsibility for voters in Jersey. These elections will matter. Decisions taken now will shape the Island’s economy for years to come, affecting not only the services we rely on today, but the opportunities available to our children tomorrow.

This is not a choice between compassion and prosperity. It is a choice about whether we protect the economic foundations that make compassion possible in the first place. Policies should be judged not by how appealing they sound, but by whether they strengthen confidence, encourage investment and sustain the engine that pays for everything else.

Jersey cannot afford wishful thinking or ideology-driven policy. In a small island, mistakes are harder to undo and confidence, once lost, is difficult, if not impossible, to rebuild. Prosperity is not guaranteed; it has to be earned, protected and renewed.

The question facing voters is therefore simple but serious: do we want a confident, successful island that stands on its own feet, creating opportunity for those who live here? Or do we risk drifting into a future where hard choices are postponed, competitiveness is eroded and the Island becomes poorer?

Our future prosperity depends on getting this right. The responsibility now rests with voters, to choose realism over rhetoric, long-term strength over short-term comfort, and a Jersey that continues to thrive rather than one that learns too late how fragile success can be.

Prosperity is never an accident, and once lost, it is rarely regained.

Born and educated in the Island, Carl Parslow is an experienced Jersey Advocate and notary public with over 25 years’ experience. He heads up Parslows LLP business legal services department, advising corporates and individuals on a range of issues with a particular emphasis on acting for Jersey owner-managed businesses. Outside of work, he enjoys rugby and cycling with Lasardines.