AFTER a summer in which the Island has spent sustained periods experiencing weather more typically associated with the Mediterranean, something a bit more typical is forecast for the Bank Holiday weekend.
Hot, dry weather that brought four heatwaves and seven of the 20 hottest days on record so far in 2026 is conspicuously absent from the projection for the coming days provided by Jersey Met.
Senior forecaster Rob Plummer said that Islanders’ expectations of what constituted “normal” summer conditions had been skewed by the experience of recent months.
“It’s been like Ibiza at times, but that won’t be the case this weekend,” he said. “If people are sitting out, they’re likely to be needing a jumper and seeking shelter from the wind, as well as keeping an eye out for showers.”
Mr Plummer said that the showers forecast for the early part of the weekend were likely to be “more organised” at times, increasing the chances of rain today and around lunchtime tomorrow, with a lower chance of precipitation on Sunday and predominantly dry conditions on Bank Holiday Monday.
Maximum temperatures are set to fall across the weekend by around 0.5°C per day from a projected 23.5°C today.
Mr Plummer said that the wind was likely to reach force five on Monday, perhaps even force six at times, making the peak of 22°C feel more like 18°C.
“Conditions will probably be pretty normal for the August Bank Holiday weekend, and it won’t be a washout,” he added.
Although the showers that are forecast will be welcomed by those with parched gardens, Jersey Fire and Rescue Service has warned that the high risk of wildfires remains following the long dry spell.
Earlier this week a wildfire, sparked by a bonfire, in St Brelade was close to causing damage to properties and the Island’s desalination plant, prompting a warning from the fire service for Islanders to use common sense and extreme caution in relation to bonfires and barbecues.
