What does 2022 have in store for pensions and investments?
Mike Freer, of BWCI Group, replies:
FOR those who like to see their doom and gloom in biblical proportions, one of the four horsemen of the apocalypse was Plague. Covid-19 would fit the bill, but we have a vaccine.
However, we still face the consequences of climate change – a bigger long-term problem than Covid-19, and not one which has a vaccine. COP26 made steps in the right direction, but left a yawning gap if global warming is to be limited to 1.5°C.
What does this all mean for the year ahead, for investments and pensions saving?
It is helpful to single out climate change. The previous decades have seen major shorter-term problems, such as the financial crisis, AIDS, the dot-com bubble and the nuclear disaster at Fukushima. It is helpful to concentrate on what is different, longer term, and with potential consequences that dwarf most others. Pension saving in particular is a long-term strategy.
Equity investments are common investments in all types of pension scheme. We might expect investments in low-carbon sectors, such as technology, to fare much better than those in fossil-fuel extraction, for example.
Bond assets are also common pension-plan investments, and government bonds may benefit from their safe-haven status.
Property investment frequently appears as a pension-scheme asset, and those buildings that are most exposed to extreme weather events can expect their value to be diminished.
The relevance of pension-scheme investments in reducing a member’s carbon footprint was highlighted by the Make My Money Matter initiative, where suitable changes to a member’s pension investments were calculated as having about 27 times the effect of becoming a non-flying vegan.
The message for 2022 is to get serious about investment to mitigate, and protect against, the effects of climate change. The sooner we start, the better our outcomes are likely to be.
