Here are some statistics about the Brecon & Radnorshire by-election result:
– There was a 12.0% swing from the Conservatives to the Liberal Democrats. If this size of swing were repeated across the country at a general election, the Lib Dems would stand to gain up to a further 13 seats from the Tories.
– The turnout, based on valid votes cast, was 59.6%. This is the highest turnout at a parliamentary by-election since Winchester in November 1997.
– Of the 650 seats in the current House of Commons, 211 are now held by women MPs. This is the highest number of women MPs ever.
– The result reduces the government’s working majority in the House of Commons to just one. There are 320 MPs who – on paper – would back the Government in a crunch vote in the Commons: 310 Tories and 10 members of the DUP. Set against this are 319 MPs from all other parties. In practice, at least one of these 319 MPs – Charlie Elphicke, who sits as an independent having recently had the Tory whip removed – would probably vote with the Government in a vote of confidence.
