State of the race for Tory leadership

State of the race for Tory leadership

The race to become Conservative leader is entering the final week of selection by MPs, with the field continuing to narrow.

Four of the six current riders will be forced out before the end of the week in a series of votes by their parliamentary colleagues, leaving the final two to go head-to-head for votes from the Tory grassroots.

So what is the current state of play – who has the most backers, who is the smart money on and who could prove to be a dark horse?

Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson
Boris Johnson leaves his home in south London (Jonathan Brady/PA)

His betting odds have continued to rise despite criticism of his media avoidance strategy, including refusing to debate in Sunday’s hustings on Channel 4 and another with Westminster lobby journalists on Monday.

Tory leadership contest latest odds
(PA Graphics)

Former leadership candidate Matt Hancock, Health Secretary, pulled out on Friday and has decided to back Mr Johnson, in a blow to his competitor Michael Gove.

Jeremy Hunt

Jeremy Hunt
Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt launches his campaign (Victoria Jones/PA)

A solid performance in his current job sets him apart from Mr Johnson, who has faced criticism over his role in the continuing imprisonment of British-Iranian citizen Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, but Mr Hunt has come under fire for his stance on abortion.

Cabinet backers include Defence Secretary Penny Mordaunt, Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd, International Trade Secretary Liam Fox and Business Secretary Greg Clark.

Michael Gove

Michael Gove
Michael Gove won 37 votes in the first round (Yui Mok/PA)

He managed to weather a hypocrisy storm last weekend over his admission he took cocaine, despite writing about how he disagreed with “London’s liberal consensus” on loosening drugs laws.

Mr Gove has amassed support from four Cabinet colleagues – Education Secretary Damian Hinds, Scottish Secretary David Mundell, Energy Minister Claire Perry and Commons Leader Mel Stride.

Dominic Raab

Dominic Raab
Dominic Raab has odds of 109/1 on Betfair Exchange (Yui Mok/PA)

Controversial comments about being willing to prorogue Parliament to force through a no-deal Brexit became a lightning rod for criticism by fellow candidates at the Channel 4 hustings on Sunday.

Mr Raab has odds of 109/1 on Betfair Exchange and no Cabinet backers yet, with much of his support, including from hard Brexiteers who had previously expressed support for him, apparently leaching away to Mr Johnson.

Sajid Javid

Sajid Javid
Sajid Javid won 23 votes from MPs in the first round (Rick Findler/PA)

Seen as a dark horse who could make an unexpected late surge due to his everyman credentials, being the only candidate not to have attended public school or an Oxbridge university and the son of a bus driver.

He has three Cabinet backers, who are Immigration Minister Caroline Nokes, Culture Secretary Jeremy Wright and Universities Minister Chris Skidmore.

Rory Stewart

Rory Stewart
Rory Stewart has not shied away from confrontation (Yui Mok/PA)

Another dark horse, although he started with odds of 100/1 he is now at a canter with odds of 12/1 on Betfair Exchange.

He has not shied away from confrontation, denouncing Mr Raab’s desire to prorogue Parliament, and has won plaudits for a campaign where he has been speaking to the public in various parts of London.

The newest member of Cabinet, Mr Stewart has managed to win a backer in Justice Secretary David Gauke.

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